Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.251059 0.283815 0.318648 0.358386 0.402400 0.449591 0.503951
2025-08-31 0.205379 0.249155 0.298551 0.358196 0.428031 0.506963 0.602677
2025-09-07 0.176969 0.228165 0.288939 0.365922 0.460309 0.571699 0.712491
2025-09-14 0.152041 0.207201 0.275751 0.366373 0.482087 0.623877 0.809610
2025-09-21 0.132530 0.190040 0.264558 0.366931 0.502466 0.674136 0.906129
2025-09-28 0.116852 0.175670 0.254873 0.367574 0.521739 0.722882 1.002337
2025-10-05 0.105616 0.165838 0.249838 0.373228 0.547040 0.779880 1.111382
2025-10-12 0.097455 0.159299 0.248397 0.383121 0.577994 0.845293 1.234233
2025-10-19 0.088705 0.150798 0.243108 0.386637 0.599565 0.898256 1.341890
2025-10-26 0.082263 0.145062 0.241181 0.394520 0.627326 0.960625 1.464927
2025-11-02 0.077394 0.141243 0.241663 0.405719 0.660156 1.031277 1.602367
2025-11-09 0.070247 0.132889 0.234236 0.403932 0.672931 1.072831 1.698854
2025-11-16 0.063831 0.125312 0.227713 0.403523 0.688451 1.120224 1.807856
2025-11-23 0.057971 0.118069 0.221074 0.402316 0.702438 1.165738 1.915883
2025-11-30 0.054324 0.114419 0.220135 0.410311 0.731366 1.235240 2.063147
2025-12-07 0.049786 0.108597 0.214884 0.410503 0.747343 1.284971 2.181604
2025-12-14 0.045757 0.103296 0.210060 0.410951 0.763527 1.335431 2.302900
2025-12-21 0.042157 0.098434 0.205580 0.411568 0.779803 1.386449 2.426761
2025-12-28 0.039615 0.095446 0.204304 0.417758 0.805818 1.454220 2.579957
2026-01-04 0.037848 0.093889 0.205592 0.428647 0.840465 1.537494 2.761328
2026-01-11 0.035416 0.090621 0.203254 0.432509 0.862660 1.600566 2.911376
2026-01-18 0.033694 0.088736 0.203484 0.441196 0.893859 1.679962 3.091293
2026-01-25 0.032455 0.087814 0.205572 0.453541 0.932237 1.772994 3.297240